The global HIV response at 40

It is helpful to divide the global HIV response into three phases: The first, from about 1980 to 2000, represents "Calamity". The second, from roughly 2000 to 2015 represents "Hope." The third, from 2015, is unfolding and may be termed "Choices" ­ and these choices may be severely constrained by COVID, so "Constrained Choices in an era of COVID" may prove more apt. As we take stock of HIV at 40, there are positive lessons for the wider health response ­ and challenging reflections for the wider impact of the global HIV response. The positive lessons include: (1) the importance of activism; (2) the role of scientific progress and innovation; (3) the impact of evidence in concentrating resources on proven approaches; (4) the importance of surveillance to understanding transmission dynamics; (5) the use of epidemic intelligence to guide precision implementation; (6) the focus on implementation cascades (diagnosis, linkage, adherence, disease suppression); and finally (7) an overarching execution and results focus. Given this remarkable legacy, it seems churlish to ask whether the HIV response could have achieved more. yet, consider these approximate figures. Development assistance for HIV totals about 100 billion dollars, 70 billion from the USA matched by roughly 100 billion in domestic resources. For 200 billion dollars, should we not have achieved more than 23 million people initiating treatment (very crudely, 10 000 dollars per person on treatment)? Much of the hundred billion dollars of development assistance (roughly half) focused on about a dozen priority countries in eastern and southern African. The larger PEPFAR recipients, with populations of roughly 50 million, each received 5 billion dollars or more cumulatively. And there are further Global Fund contributions of an additional billion dollars in many of these countries. For 6 billion dollars per country, should we have expected more? The World Bank Human Capital Project posits that to maximize human capital formation, countries must ensure that their children survive, are well nourished and stimulated, learn skills and live long, productive lives. Using the Human Capital Index (a composite index based on these factors), South Africa ­ the largest HIV financing recipient ­ ranks 126th of 157 countries, below Haiti, Ghana, the Congo Republic, Senegal and Benin. Consider how many recipients of major HIV development finance fall into the bottom fifth: Namibia, Botswana, Eswatini (formerly Swaziland), Malawi, South Africa, Tanzania, Zambia, Uganda, Lesotho, Ethiopia, Mozambique, Cote D'Ivoire and Nigeria. Of course, causality is unresolved and there are several possible explanations: (1) low human capital formation may increase HIV transmission; (2) the HIV epidemic may have intergenerational impacts; (3) the all-consuming focus on HIV may have displaced other health, education and development priorities. yet, it remains hard to see these data and to argue that successful HIV responses among the largest HIV financing recipients strengthened their wider health sector and human development outcomes. A plausible principle emerges. Narrowly targeted disease-specific emergency responses may lead to disease-specific gains but do not improve governance or national systems capacity or wider disease or development outcomes. This is not to undermine the emergency origins of the HIV response; 2021 is not 2000 and it is unlikely that we would have 23 million people initiating treatment without an emergency response. yet, there are reasons (intensified by COVID), to suggest that we must pivot towards long-term, integrated, developmental, nationally owned and financed, systems-orientated responses ­ particularly when both development assistance and national budgets are likely to be constrained in an era of COVID.

Development and validation of a prognostic model based on SEER data for patients with esophageal carcinoma after esophagectomy / 南方医科大学学报

OBJECTIVE@#To develop a nomogram to predict the long-term survival of patients with esophageal cancer following esophagectomy.@*METHODS@#We collected the data of 7215 patients with esophageal carcinoma from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database during the period from 2004 and 2016. Of these patients, 5052 were allocated to the training cohort and the remaining 2163 patients to the internal validation cohort using bootstrap resampling, with another 435 patients treated in the Department of Cardiothoracic Surgery of Jinling Hospital between 2014 and 2016 serving as the external validation cohort.@*RESULTS@#In the overall cohort, the 1-, 3-, and 5-year cancer-specific mortality rates were 14.6%, 35.7% and 41.6%, respectively. Age (≥80 years vs < 50 years, P < 0.001), gender (male vs female, P < 0.001), tumor site (lower vs middle segment, P=0.013), histology (EAC vs ESCC, P=0.012), tumor grade (poorly vs well differentiated, P < 0.001), TNM stage (Ⅳ vs Ⅰ, P < 0.001), tumor size (> 50 mm vs 0-20 mm, P < 0.001), chemotherapy (yes vs no, P < 0.001), and LNR (> 0.25 vs 0, P < 0.001) were identified as independent risk factors affecting long-term survival of the patients. The nomograms established based on the model for predicting the survival probability of the patients at 1, 3 and 5 years after operation showed a C-index of 0.726 (95% CI: 0.714-0.738) for predicting the overall survival (OS) and of 0.735 (95% CI: 0.727-0.743) for cancer-specific survival (CSS) in the training cohort. In the internal validation cohort, the C-index of the nomograms was 0.752 (95% CI: 0.738-0.76) for OS and 0.804 (95% CI: 0.790-0.817) for CSS, as compared with 0.749 (95% CI: 0.736-0.767) and 0.788 (95%CI: 0.751-0.808), respectively, in the external validation cohort. The nomograms also showed a higher sensitivity than the TNM staging system for predicting long-term prognosis.@*CONCLUSION@#This prognostic model has a high prediction efficiency and can help to identify the high-risk patients with esophageal carcinoma after surgery and serve as a supplement for the current TNM staging system.

Survival nomogram for patients with bone metastatic renal cell carcinoma: A population-based study

ABSTRACT Purpose: Increased attention has been focused on the survival of renal cell carcinoma (RCC) patients with bone metastasis. This study proposed to establish and evaluate a nomogram for predicting the overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) of RCC patients with bone metastasis. Materials and Methods: RCC patients with bone metastasis between 2010 and 2015 were captured from the surveillance, epidemiology and end results (SEER) database. Univariate and multivariate cox regressions were performed to assess the effects of clinical variables on OS and CSS. The nomogram based on the Cox hazards regression model was developed. Concordance index (C-index) and calibration curve were performed to evaluate the accuracy of nomogram models, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves and decision curve analysis (DCA) were conducted to assess the predict performance. Results: A total of 2.471 eligible patients were enrolled in this study. The patients were assigned to primary (n=1.672) and validation (n=799) cohorts randomly. The 1-, 2-, and 3-year OS and CSS nomogram models were constructed based on age at diagnosis, sex, marital status, pathological grade, T-stage, N-stage, brain/liver/lung metastasis, surgery, radiotherapy and chemotherapy. The c for OS and CSS prediction was 0.730 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.719-0.741) and 0.714 (95%CI:0.702-0.726). The calibration curves showed significant agreement between nomogram models and actual observations. ROC and DCA indicated nomograms had better predict performance. Conclusions: The nomograms for predicting prognosis provided an accurate prediction of OS and CSS in RCC patients with bone metastasis, and contributed clinicians to optimize individualized treatment plans.

Development of a nomogram for predicting survival of patients with ovarian serous cystadenocarcinoma after based on SEER database / 浙江大学学报·医学版

To develop a survival time prediction model for patients with ovarian serous cystadenocarcinoma after surgery. A retrospective analysis of 5906 postoperative patients with ovarian serous cystadenocarcinoma in the surveillance, epidemiology, and end results (SEER) database from 2010 to 2015 was performed. The independent risk factors for long-term survival were analyzed with multivariate Cox proportional hazard regression model. The nomogram of 3-year and 5-year survival was developed by using R language. The receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curve and were used to test the discrimination of the model and the calibration diagram was used to evaluate the degree of calibration of the prediction model. The survival curves was conducted by the risk factors. Cox proportional hazard regression model showed that age, race, histological grade (poorly differentiated and undifferentiated), stage T (T2a, T2b, T2c, T3a, T3b and T3c), and stage M (M1) were independent factors for the prognosis of patients with ovarian serous cystadenocarcinoma after surgery. A nomogram was developed by the R language tool for predicting the 3-year and survival of patients through age, race, histological classification, stage T and stage M. The C-index was 0.688 and the areas under ROC curve of the nomogram for predicting 3-year and 5-year survival were 0.708 and 0.716, respectively. The results of the calibration indicated that the predicted values were consistent with the actual values in the prediction models. The survival time of patients with high-risk factors was shorter than that of patients with low-risk factors (<0.05). The developed nomogram in this study can be used to predict 3-year and 5-year survival of postoperative patients with ovarian serous cystadenocarcinoma, and it may be beneficial to guide clinical treatment.

Assessment of Prognostic Factors of Racial Disparities in Testicular Germ Cell Tumor Survival in the United States (1992-2015) / 生物医学与环境科学（英文）

Objective@#Testicular germ cell tumors (TGCT) are the most common cancer among men aged 15 to 39 years. Previous studies have considered factors related to TGCT survival rate and race/ethnicity, but histological type of the diagnosed cancer has not yet been thoroughly assessed.@*Methods@#The data came from 42,854 eligible patients from 1992 to 2015 in the Surveillance Epidemiology and End Results 18. Frequencies and column percent by seminoma and nonseminoma subtypes were determined for each covariates. We used Cox proportional hazard regression to assess the impact of multiple factors on post-diagnostic mortality of TGCT.@*Results@#Black males were diagnosed at a later stage, more commonly with local or distant metastases. The incidence of TGCT in black non-seminoma tumors increased most significantly. The difference in survival rates between different ethnic and histological subtypes, overall survival (OS) in patients with non-seminoma was significantly worse than in patients with seminoma. The most important quantitative predictor of death was the stage at the time of diagnosis, and older diagnostic age is also important factor affecting mortality.@*Conclusion@#Histological type of testicular germ cell tumor is an important factor in determining the prognosis of testicular cancer in males of different ethnic groups.

Clinicopathological features and prognosis of colorectal stromal tumor / 北京大学学报(医学版)

OBJECTIVE@#The incidence of colorectal stromal tumor is low among digestive tract tumors, therefore the literatures about clinicopathological features and prognosis of colorectal stromal tumor are few at home and abroad. In this study, we performed survival analyses for colorectal stromal tumor. The nomogram made by prognostic factors provided basis for evaluation of prognosis.@*METHODS@#The clinico-pathological and prognostic data of colorectal stromal tumor between January 1992 and December 2015 were collected from the surveillance, epidemiology, and end results (SEER) database. The survival analyses were made by SPSS 24.0 software. The nomogram and calibration curve were made by RMS package in R 3.5.2 software.@*RESULTS@#In the study, 546 patients with colorectal stromal tumor were included. The median age of onset was 64 years. The regional lymph node metastasis (LNM) rate was 9.4%. The multivariate Cox regression analyses of the 546 cases showed that the older age of onset (>64 years), single or divorce, colon tumor (compared with rectal tumor), non-surgery, high histological grade, LNM and distant metastasis were associated with worse cancer specific survival (CSS) and overall survival (OS), P < 0.05 for all. The treatment district was independent prognostic factor of OS (P = 0.027). The C-index of independent prognostic factors predicting CSS and OS probability were 0.76 (95%CI: 0.72-0.80) and 0.75 (95%CI: 0.72-0.78), respectively. Multivariate analyses were further carried out in the 174 patients with definite histological grade and tumor location, which revealed that the age of onset, histological grade, surgery or not were independent prognostic factors of CSS and OS (P < 0.05 for all). Tumor location was associated with CSS (P = 0.041) but not OS (P = 0.057) among the 174 cases. Four independent prognostic factors influencing the 174 patients' prognosis were used to make nomogram for predicting survival probability of 546 cases. The C-index of four prognostic factors predicting probability of CSS and OS of the 546 cases were separately 0.71 (95%CI: 0.66-0.75) and 0.73 (95%CI: 0.70-0.77). The nomogram had more accuracy for predicting OS probability of colorectal stromal tumors.@*CONCLUSION@#The prognosis of colorectal stromal tumor was affected by multiple clinicopathological factors. The nomogram provided the basis for predicting the survival probability of patients with colorectal stromal tumor.

Efficacy analysis of radiotherapy combined with surgery for locally advanced rectal mucinous adenocarcinoma: a retrospective study based on data of Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End results population / 中华胃肠外科杂志

OBJECTIVE@#To explore the efficacy of radiotherapy combined with surgery for locally advanced rectal mucinous adenocarcinoma.@*METHODS@#Clinical data of patients with locally advanced rectal mucinous adenocarcinoma (T3-4 and/or N+) diagnosed by postoperative pathology from 1992 to 2013 were retrieved from the US Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. Patients with local excision only, tumor biopsy or combined organ excision and incomplete follow-up information were excluded. All the enrolled patients were divided into three groups according to different treatments, including surgery alone (SA) group, preoperative radiotherapy combined with surgery (RT+S) group and surgery combined with postoperative radiotherapy (S+RT) group. The extracted data included basic data of patients and tumor, treatment status, and follow-up results. The χ² test was used to compare the count data. Kaplan-Meier method was used to draw the survival curve and calculate the survival rate. The survival was analyzed and compared by Log-rank test. The R language 2.8.1 was used to match the patients as 1:1 pairing through the propensity score matching (PSM). The matching variables included gender, age at diagnosis, year at diagnosis, ethnicity, degree of tissue differentiation, TNM stage, depth of invasion, making the baseline data of subgroups comparable. The Cox proportional hazard model was used for multivariate analysis of prognostic factors.@*RESULTS@#A total of 2 149 patients with locally advanced rectal mucinous adenocarcinoma were enrolled in the study, including 1 255 males (58.4%) and 894 females (41.6%). There were 706 patients (32.9%) in the SA group, 772 patients (35.9%) in the RT+S group and 671 patients (31.2%) in the S+RT group. In SA, RT+S and S+RT groups, the median overall survival time was 39, 85, and 74 months respectively; the 5-year overall survival (OS) rate was 38.7%, 56.5%, and 55.2% respectively; the median cancer-specific survival (CSS) time was 86, 127, and 111 months respectively, and the 5-year CSS rate was 53.7%, 62.2% and 60.7% respectively. In comparison among the 3 groups, the 5-year OS rate and CSS rate in the SA group were significantly lower than those in the RT+S group and S+RT group (all P<0.001); the 5-year OS rate and CSS rate between RT+S group and S+RT group were not significantly different (P=0.166 and 0.392,respectively). After the baseline data of subgroups were corrected through PSM, the 5-year OS rate and CSS rate in the SA group (n=375) were significantly lower than those in the RT+S group (n=375)(OS:40.1% vs. 54.5%, P<0.001; CSS:54.3% vs. 63.3%, P=0.023). The 5-year OS rate and CSS rate in the SA group (n=403) were also lower than those in the S+RT group (n=403) (OS:37.4% vs. 54.7%,P<0.001;CSS:51.6% vs. 61.0%,P=0.031). The 5-year OS rate and CSS rate between RT+S group (n=363) and S+RT group (n=363) were not significantly different (OS:51.7% vs. 55.5%, P=0.789; CSS:57.7% vs. 60.5%, P=0.484). Cox multivariate analysis showed that radiotherapy (HR=0.845, 95%CI: 0.790 to 0.903, P=0.001) was an independent prognostic factor for OS of locally advanced rectal mucinous adenocarcinoma; radiotherapy (HR=0.907, 95% CI: 0.835 to 0.985, P=0.021) was also an independent prognostic factor affecting CSS in patients with locally advanced rectal mucinous adenocarcinoma.@*CONCLUSION@#As compared with surgery alone, surgery combined with preoperative or postoperative radiotherapy is beneficial to the long-term survival of patients with locally advanced rectal mucinous adenocarcinoma.

Postoperative Radiotherapy Improves Survival in Gastric Signet-Ring Cell Carcinoma: a SEER Database Analysis

PURPOSE: To identify the potential therapeutic role of postoperative radiotherapy (RT) in patients with locally advanced (stage II and stage III) gastric signet ring cell carcinoma (SRC).MATERIALS AND METHODS: Patients with locally advanced gastric SRC from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results program database between 2004 and 2012 were included in our study. Univariate and multivariate Cox proportional models were performed, and survival curves were generated to evaluate the prognostic effect of postoperative RT and surgery alone on SRC patients. Propensity score matching (PSM) was used to avoid selection bias among the study cohorts.RESULTS: We found that patients with postoperative RT had better probability of survival compared with those who did not receive RT (overall survival [OS], P<0.001; cancer-specific survival [CSS], P<0.001). After PSM, analysis of both overall and CSS showed that patients who underwent postoperative RT had better prognosis than those receiving surgery alone in the matched cohort (OS, P=0.00079; CSS, P=0.0036). Multivariate Cox proportional model indicated that postoperative RT had better effect on prognosis compared with surgery alone with respect to both overall (hazard ratio [HR], 0.716; 95% confidence interval [95% CI], 0.590–0.87; P=0.001) and CSS (HR, 0.713; 95% CI, 0.570–0.890; P=0.003).CONCLUSIONS: Postoperative RT had better prognosis compared with surgery alone for both overall and CSS for patients with locally advanced gastric SRC.

Comparative Analysis of Outcomes and Clinicopathological Characteristics of Synchronous and Metachronous Contralateral Breast Cancer: A Study of the SEER Database / 한국유방암학회지

PURPOSE: Numerous previous studies have reported inconsistent results about the differences between synchronous contralateral breast cancer (sCBC) and metachronous contralateral breast cancer (mCBC). This study aimed to compare the clinical characteristics and outcomes between sCBC and mCBC and determine predictive factors for the survival of sCBC and mCBC patients. METHODS: Using the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Program database, we identified sCBC or mCBC patients from 2000 to 2010. The Kaplan-Meier method and Cox proportional hazards regression analysis were used to analyze overall survival and breast cancer-specific survival (BCSS) rates of sCBCs and mCBCs, respectively. RESULTS: Overall, 14,057 sCBC (n = 8,139, 57.9%) and mCBC (n = 5,918, 42.1%) patients were included. The first tumors of sCBC were more likely to have higher stage and more lymph and distant metastases, whereas those of mCBC were more often infiltrating ductal carcinoma (IDC), had localized stage, were estrogen receptor (ER) and progesterone receptor (PR) negative, and had less axillary nodal involvement. The second tumors of mCBC tended to be IDC and have higher grade, adverse stage, ER and PR-negativity; and more axillary nodal involvement, compared to the second tumors of sCBC. mCBC patients had significantly favorable 5-year BCSS but worse long-term BCSS compared with sCBC patients. Moreover, subgroup analysis revealed no significant difference of BCSS between sCBC and mCBC among patients aged 18–60 years. Multivariate analysis indicated that age, grade, and stage of 2 tumors; surgery for second tumor; and ER status of the second tumor were independent prognostic factors for BCSS of contralateral breast cancer (CBC). CONCLUSION: The characteristics and outcomes of sCBCs and mCBCs were substantially different. sCBC and mCBC patients may have different prognosis, and the prognosis of CBC depends on the first and second tumors.

Evaluation of the Benefit of Radiotherapy in Patients with Occult Breast Cancer: A Population-Based Analysis of the SEER Database / Journal of the Korean Cancer Association, 대한암학회지

PURPOSE: Few studies for occult breast cancer (OBC) have evaluated the effect of radiotherapy (RT) after mastectomy or axillary lymph node dissection (ALND) with/without breast surgery. Therefore, we investigated clinicopathologic factors of OBC with the impact of postoperative RT to determine its prognostic significance using large population-based data. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We performed a retrospective cohort study using the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database from 1983 to 2013. A total of 1,045 eligible patients with OBC were identified. We compared overall survival (OS) using Cox proportional hazards regression with propensity score matching after verifying an imbalance of prognosticators between RT group (n=518) and non-RT group (n=479). RESULTS: Patients with age < 70 (p=0.033), married marital status (p < 0.001), undergoing ALND (p < 0.001), more examined lymph nodes (LNs) (p < 0.001), and more metastatic LNs (p < 0.001) were more likely to receive RT. Multivariate analysis after propensity score matching (n=798) showed that patients treated with RT survived significantly longer than those without RT (5-year OS, 81.5% vs. 78.3%; p=0.014). A significantly prolonged OS was observed when RT was given to patients treated with mastectomy (p=0.033), those treated with ALND (p=0.036), or those with more than seven metastatic LNs (p=0.016). CONCLUSION: RT may offer survival benefit in OBC even after mastectomy or ALND, especially in patients with more than seven metastatic LNs. Further prospective studies are needed to validate these findings.

A National Study of Survival Trends and Conditional Survival in Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma: Analysis of the National Population-Based Surveillance Epidemiology and End Results Registry / Journal of the Korean Cancer Association, 대한암학회지

PURPOSE: Conditional survival (CS) provides important information on survival for a period of time after diagnosis. Currently, information on CS patterns of patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) is lacking. We aimed to analyze survival rate over time and estimate CS for NPC patients using a national population-based registry. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Patients diagnosed with NPC between 1973 and 2007 with at least 5-year follow-up were identified from the Surveillance Epidemiology End Results registry. Traditional survival rates and crude CS estimateswere calculated using Kaplan-Meier analysis. Risk-adjusted survival curves were plotted from the proportional hazards model using the correct group prognosis method. RESULTS: For 7,713 patients analyzed, adjusted baseline 5-year overall survival improved significantly from 36.0% in patients diagnosed in 1973-1979, 41.7% in 1980-1989, 46.6% in 1990-1999, to 54.7% in 2000-2007 (p < 0.01). CS analysis demonstrated that for every additional year survived, adjusted probability of surviving the next 5 years increased from 66.7% (localized), 54.0% (regional), and 35.3% (distant) at the time of diagnosis, to 83.7% (localized), 75.0% (regional), and 62.2% (distant) for patients who had survived 5 years. Adjusted 5-year CS differed among age, sex, tumor histology, ethnicity, and stage subgroups initially, but converged with time. CONCLUSION: Treatment outcomes of NPC patients have greatly improved over the decades. Increases in CS become more prominent in patients with distant disease than in those with localized or regional disease as patients survive longer. CS provides more dynamic prognostic information for patients who have survived a period of time after diagnosis.

Trends of uterine carcinosarcoma in the United States / 부인종양

OBJECTIVE: Uterine carcinosarcoma (UCS) is a rare type of high-grade endometrial cancer (EC) that has been understudied with population-based statistics due to its rarity. This study examined temporal trends in the proportion of UCS among women with EC. METHODS: This is a retrospective observational study examining The Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results program between 1973–2013. Primary EC cases were eligible for analysis, and a time-specific proportion of UCS was examined during the study period. RESULTS: UCS was seen in 11,000 (4.7%) women among 235,849 primary EC cases. Mean age at UCS diagnosis increased from 65.9 to 71.7 years between 1973–1989 and then decreased from 71.7 to 67.0 years between 1989–2013 (both, p < 0.001). Proportion of Black women significantly increased during the study period (11.9%–20.0%, p < 0.001), whereas the proportion of White women decreased from 86.0% to 60.5% between 1987–2013 (p < 0.001). There was a significant increase in the proportion of UCS among primary EC from 1.7% to 5.6% between 1973–2013 (p < 0.001). Among type II ECs (n=76,118), the proportion of UCS also increased significantly from 6.0% to 17.5% between 1973–2013 (p < 0.001). An increasing proportion of UCS was seen in both young and older women but the magnitude of interval increase was larger in the older age group between 1973–2013 ( < 60 years, from 1.3% to 3.3%. p < 0.001; and ≥60 years, from 2.6% to 7.0%, p < 0.001). CONCLUSION: Our study demonstrated that the proportion of UCS has significantly increased among EC, accounting for more than 5% in recent years.

Risk Factors of Cervical Lymph Node Metastasis in Papillary Thyroid Microcarcinoma:An Analysis Based on Data from the Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results Database / 中国医学科学院学报

Objective To explored the risk factors of lymph node metastasis in papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC) by analyzing the data from the Surveillance,Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) database.Methods The data of 31 017 patients with PTMC in the SEER database from 2002 to 2012 were retrospectively analyzed. Logistic and Cox regression analyses were used to explore the associations of the factors and the risk of lymph node metastasis in PTMC.Results Multivariate analysis revealed that male (OR=0.673,95%CI=0.605-0.748,P=0.001),age5 mm(OR=1.172,95%CI=1.153-1.191,P=0.001),follicular variant (OR=0.641,95%CI =0.574-0.716,P=0.001),and multifocal (OR=1.662,95%CI=1.516-1.821,P=0.001) and external thyroid extension (ETE) (capsular invasion OR=1.232,95%CI=1.183-1.543,P=0.001;minor invasion OR=2.119,95%CI=1.377-3.263,P=0.001;and gross invasion OR=2.546,95%CI=2.218-2.921,P=0.001) were significantly associated with central lymph node metastasis (CLNM). Multivariate analysis revealed that tumor size >5 mm(OR=1.112,95%CI =1.091-1.133,P=0.001),male (OR=0.36,95%CI=0.322-0.401,P=0.001),age5 mm),follicular variant-PTMC,ETE,and multifocality are the risk factors for cervical lymph node metastasis. Distant metastasis is associated with lateral lymph node metastasis. For patients at high risk of PTMC,prophylactic neck lymph node dissection is recommended.

Brotes hospitalarios de bacterias resistentes a colistina: revisión sistemática de la literatura / Outbreaks of colistin resistant bacteria: systematic review

Objetivo: La colistina se ha constituido en un medicamento de uso común en países endémicos en resistencia a carbapenémicos; sin embargo, con su uso ha emergido el reporte de resistencia. El objetivo de este estudio es describir los brotes hospitalarios por bacterias resistentes a colistina Material y método: Revisión sistemática de la literatura en cinco bases de datos siguiendo los criterios de la guía PRISMA de identificación, tamización, elección e inclusión. Resultados: Se identificaron 13 brotes en 7 países diferentes, 77% (n = 10) en Italia y Grecia, y 61,5% (n=8) en cepas de K. pneumoniae. Los pacientes presentaron condiciones de base, con múltiples comorbilidades y exposición afrecuente a los servicios de salud. Las pruebas y los criterios de susceptibilidad fueron variables, los mecanismos de resistencia que se encuentran simultáneamente con resistencia a colistina incluyen carbapenemasas y betalactamasas de espectro extendido. El genotipo predominante de acuerdo a MLST fue el ST-258. Conclusión: La emergencia de resistencia a colistina no se circunscribe a un grupo etario ni a una comorbilidad específica; sin embargo, se concentra en países donde la resistencia a carbapenémicos es endémica. Esto permite alertar a las autoridades sanitarias y a los centros hospitalarios para establecer programas de vigilancia, prevención y control que permiten la detección y contención oportuna de esta problemática

Objetive: Colistin has become a drug commonly used in endemic countries in resistance to carbapenems; however, with their use has emerged the resistance. The objective: of this study is to describe outbreaks by bacteria resistant to colistin Design: Systematic review of the literature in five databases with the criteria guide PRISMA of identification, tamization, election and inclusion. Results: 13 outbreaks were identified in 7 different countries, 77% (n = 10) in Italy and Greece, and 61.5% (n = 8) in K. pneumoniae strains. Patients had baseline conditions, multiple comorbidities and frequent exposure to health services. Tests and susceptibility criteria were variable, the resistance mechanisms that are simultaneously with the resistant to colistin include carbapenemases and extended spectrum beta-lactamases. The predominant genotype according to MLST was the ST-258. Conclusion: The emergence of resistance to colistin is not limited to an age group or a specific comorbidity; however, it concentrated in countries where resistance to carbapenems is endemic. This allows alert health authorities and hospitals to establish programs of surveillance, prevention and control that enable timely detection and containment of this problem

Impact on survival with adjuvant radiotherapy for clear cell, mucinous, and endometriod ovarian cancer: the SEER experience from 2004 to 2011 / 부인종양

OBJECTIVE: Evaluate the impact of radiotherapy on cause specific survival (CSS) and overall survival (OS) for stage (I-III) clear cell, mucinous, and endometriod ovarian cancer. METHODS: We analyzed incidence, survival, and treatments from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) Program from 2004 to 2011 for clear cell, mucinous, and endometriod histologies of the ovary for stages (I-III). We examined CSS and OS for all three histologies combined and each histology with relation to the use of adjuvant radiation therapy (RT). Survival analysis was calculated by Kaplan-Meier and log-rank analysis. RESULTS: CSS was higher in individuals not receiving RT at 5 years (81% vs. 74%) and 10 years (74% vs. 65%, p=0.003). OS was higher in individuals not receiving RT at 5 years (76% vs. 73%) and 10 years (64% vs. 59%, p=0.039). Stage III patients receiving RT had a higher OS at 5 years (54% vs. 44%) and 10 year intervals (36% vs. 30%, p=0.037). Stage III patients with mucinous histology receiving RT had a higher OS at 5 years (50% vs. 36%) and 10 years (45% vs. 26%, p=0.052). CONCLUSION: Those receiving RT had a lower CSS and OS at 5 and 10 years. However, subgroup analysis revealed a benefit of RT in terms of OS for all stage III patients and for stage III patients with mucinous histology.

The impact of combined radiation and chemotherapy on outcome in uterine papillary serous carcinoma compared to chemotherapy alone / 부인종양

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the impact of pelvic radiation on survival in patients with uterine serous carcinoma (USC) who received adjuvant chemotherapy. METHODS: Patients with stage I-IV USC were identified from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results program 2000 to 2009. Patients were included if treated with surgery and chemotherapy. Patients were divided into two groups: those who received chemotherapy and pelvic radiation therapy (CT_RT) and those who received chemotherapy only (CT). Kaplan-Meier curves and Cox regression proportional hazard models were used. RESULTS: Of the 1,838 included patients, 1,272 (69%) were CT and 566 (31%) were CT_RT. Adjuvant radiation was associated with significant improvement in overall survival (OS; p<0.001) and disease-specific survival (DSS; p<0.001) for entire cohort. These findings were consistent for the impact of radiation on OS (p<0.001) and DSS (p<0.001) in advanced stage (III-IV) disease but not for early stage (I-II) disease (p=0.21 for OS and p=0.82 for DSS). In multivariable analysis adjusting for age, stage, race and extent of lymphadenectomy, adjuvant radiation was a significant predictor of OS and DSS for entire cohort (p=0.003 and p=0.05) and in subset of patients with stage III (p=0.02 and p=0.07) but not for patients with stage I (p=0.59 and p=0.49), II (p=0.83 and p=0.82), and IV USC (p=0.50 and p=0.96). Other predictors were stage, positive cytology, African American race and extent of lymphadenectomy. CONCLUSION: In USC patients who received adjuvant chemotherapy, adjuvant radiation was associated with significantly improved outcome in stage III disease but not for other stages. Positive cytology, extent of lymphadenectomy and African race were significant predictors of outcome.

Beyond biology: the impact of marital status on survival of patients with adrenocortical carcinoma

Purpose: To analyze the association of marital status and survival of patients with ACC using a population-based database. Material and Methods: Patients with ACC were abstracted from the Surveillance Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) database from 1988-2010 (n=1271). Variables included marital status (married vs single/divorced/widowed (SDW)), gender, age, race, tumor (T) and node (N) classification, receipt of surgery, and SEER stage. Statistical analysis was performed using Cox proportional hazard models to generate hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals. Results: There were 728 (57.3%) females and median age was 56 years (IQR 44-66). Patients who were alive were more frequently married (65.6% vs 61.6%, p=0.008), female (61.1% vs 58.0%, p=0.001), younger (median 51 vs 57 years, p=0.0001), submitted to adrenalectomy (88.6% vs 63.8%, p<0.0001), and more favorable SEER stage (localized-64.9% vs 29.9%; regional–25.1% vs 30.1%; distant 4.8% vs 31.5%, p<0.0001) compared to patients dead of disease (DOD). On multivariable analysis, factors significantly associated with all-cause mortality were SDW status (HR 1.28, 95% CI 1.091.51), age, non-operative management, and N+ disease. Risk factors for disease-specific mortality included SDW status (HR 1.30, 95% CI 1.07-1.56), age, non-operative management, T-classification, and N+ disease. Conclusions: Marital status is significantly associated with survival in patients with ACC. Our results suggest that the decreased survival seen among SDW individuals highlights an area for further research and needed intervention to reduce disparity.

Coordinated hospital-home care for kidney patients on hemodialysis from the perspective of nursing personnel / Cuidado coordenado hospital-domicílio para pacientes renais em hemodiálise sob a perspectiva do profissional de enfermagem / Cuidado coordinado hospital-hogar para enfermos renales en hemodiálisis desde la perspectiva del personal de enfermería

OBJECTIVE: To examine, from the nursing perspective, the needs and challenges of coordinated hospital-home care for renal patients on hemodialysis. METHODS: A qualitative analysis was conducted with an ethnographic approach in a hemodialysis unit in San Luis Potosi, Mexico. Semistructured interviews were conducted with nine nurses, selected by purposeful sampling. Structured content analysis was used. RESULTS: Nurses recounted the needs and challenges involved in caring for renal patients. They also identified barriers that limit coordinated patient care in the hospital and the home, mainly the work overload at the hemodialysis unit and the lack of a systematic strategy for education and lifelong guidance to patients, their families and caregivers. CONCLUSIONS: This study shows the importance and necessity of establishing a strategy that goes beyond conventional guidance provided to caregivers of renal patients, integrating them into the multidisciplinary group of health professionals that provide care for these patients in the hospital to establish coordinated hospital-home care that increases therapeutic adherence, treatment substitution effectiveness and patient quality of life. .

OBJETIVO: estudar, sob a perspectiva do enfermeiro, as necessidades e desafios do cuidado coordenado hospital-domicílio no atendimento a pacientes renais em hemodiálise. MÉTODOS: foi realizada uma análise qualitativa, com abordagem etnográfica, em uma unidade de hemodiálise em San Luis Potosí, México. Foram realizadas entrevistas semiestruturadas com nove enfermeiros, selecionados através de amostragem proposital. Foi utilizada uma análise de conteúdo estruturado. RESULTADOS: os enfermeiros relatam necessidades e desafios envolvidos nos cuidados de pacientes renais. Também apontam barreiras que limitam os cuidados do paciente no hospital e em casa, de maneira coordenada, principalmente a sobrecarga de trabalho na unidade de hemodiálise e a falta de uma estratégia sistemática para educação e orientação vitalícia dos pacientes, familiares e cuidadores. CONCLUSÕES: este estudo mostra a importância e a necessidade de se estabelecer uma estratégia além da orientação convencional fornecida a cuidadores de pacientes renais, integrando-os ao grupo multidisciplinar de profissionais de saúde que prestam atendimento a esses pacientes no hospital, para um cuidado coordenado hospital-domicílio, aumentando a adesão à terapêutica, eficácia do tratamento de substituição e qualidade de vida do paciente. .

OBJETIVO: examinar, desde la perspectiva del personal de enfermería, las necesidades y desafíos del cuidado coordinado hospital-hogar en la atención a enfermos renales en hemodiálisis. MÉTODOS: se realizó una evaluación cualitativa con enfoque etnográfico en una unidad de hemodiálisis en San Luis Potosí, México. Se llevaron a cabo entrevistas semiestructuradas con nueve enfermeras, seleccionadas mediante muestreo intencional. Se empleó análisis de contenido estructurado. RESULTADOS: el personal de enfermería refiere las necesidades y desafíos que implica el cuidado al enfermo renal. Señalan también las barreras que limitan el cuidado del enfermo en el hospital y en el hogar de manera coordinada, principalmente, la sobrecarga de trabajo en la unidad de hemodiálisis y la falta de una estrategia sistemática para la educación y orientación permanente a los enfermos, sus familiares y cuidadores. CONCLUSIONES: este estudio muestra la importancia y necesidad de establecer una estrategia que supere la orientación convencional que se brinda a los cuidadores de enfermos renales, integrándolos al grupo multidisciplinar de profesionales de la salud que brindan atención a estos enfermos en el hospital, para establecer un cuidado coordinado hospital-hogar que permita incrementar la adhesión a la terapéutica, la efectividad del tratamiento sustitutivo y la calidad de vida del enfermo. .

Stage IIA and IIB testicular seminoma treated post-orchiectomy with radiation therapy versus other approaches: a population-based analysis of 241 patients

Objectives To evaluate post-orchiectomy utilization of radiation therapy (RT) versus other management approaches in stage IIA and IIB testicular seminoma patients. Materials and Methods Two hundred and forty-one patients with stage IIA and IIB testicular seminoma were identified between 1988 and 2003 using the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. Results Median follow-up was 10 years. Patients with stage IIA disease underwent RT more frequently than those with stage IIB disease (72% vs. 46%, respectively; P<0.001). There was no significant change in RT utilization for stage IIA or IIB disease between 1988 and 2003 (P = 0.89). Conclusions Between 1988 and 2003, stage IIA patients underwent RT more often than stage IIB patients in the United States. There was no significant change in RT utilization for stage IIA or IIB disease during this time period. Based on reports describing excellent progression-free survival with cisplatin-based chemotherapy, this approach has increased in popularity since 2003 and may eventually become the most popular treatment approach for both stage IIA and IIB testicular seminoma. .

Clinicopathological Features of Prostate Ductal Carcinoma: Matching Analysis and Comparison with Prostate Acinar Carcinoma

We evaluated the clinicopathological features and prognosis of 29 cases of prostate ductal carcinoma was considered to be an aggressive subtype of prostate acinar carcinoma. We selected 29 cases who were diagnosed prostate ductal carcinoma and had a radical prostatectomy (RP). The acinar group (n = 116) was selected among 3,980 patients who underwent a prostatectomy. The acinar group was matched to the ductal group for prostate specific antigen (PSA), clinical stage, Gleason score, and age. The mean (range) of the follow-up periods for the ductal and acinar group was 23.8 +/- 20.6 and 58 +/- 10.5 months, respectively. The mean age of the prostate ductal and acinar carcinoma patients was 67.3 and 67.0 yr and the mean PSA level was 14.7 and 16.2 ng/mL, respectively. No statistical differences were evident between groups in terms of the final pathologic stage or positive resection margin rate other than the postoperative Gleason score. A greater proportion of the ductal group demonstrated a postoperative Gleason score > or = 8 in comparison with the acinar group (P = 0.024). Additionally, we observed significant prognostic difference in our patient series in biochemical recurrence. The ductal group showed a poorer prognosis than the acinar group (P = 0.016). There were no differences significantly in terms of final pathology and rate of positive resection margin, but a greater proportion of the ductal group demonstrated a Gleason score > or = 8 than the acinar group after matching for PSA, Gleason score in biopsy and clinical stage. The ductal group also showed a poorer prognosis.